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Analysis Of Exchange Rate Trend (Pln - Eur)

Analysis of a chosen exchange rate trend

Exchange rate under analysis: Euro against Polish Zloty (EUR/PLN)

The trend period under analysis: 1/12/2006 – 28/02/2007 (3 months)

Introduction

Following an approximate three-month trend of the Euro depreciating against the PLN up to the beginning of December 2006, the next period of over 2 months is of an upward trend. I will be analysing this upward trend and its causes, followed by a turnaround of the general movement. As the exchange rate goes from February 2006 through March 2006, a steady downward trend is developing, which implies a turnaround in future expectations at the end of the investigated 3-month period.

Leading up to December 2006

The Euro area

The growth rate of the Euro area has been relatively low for recent years, specifically not exceeding 2% from 2001 to 2005 . Nevertheless a significant ‘boost’ had occurred in 2006. A 2.7% growth rate in the second quarter provided expectations of even......


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Approximate Word Count: 2166
Approximate Pages: 9 (250 words per double-spaced page)

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