The Body Shop International: An Introduction To Financial Modeling
The body Shop Case study
Question 1: Base Case Assumptions
In order to derive this forecast, ‘percent-of-sales’ forecasting was used, which involves initially forecasting sales and then forecasting other financial statement accounts based on their direct relationship with sales. This method of forecasting was used due to the lack of information available (only the last three years of financial statements). As a result, every account in the pro forma financial statements are based on one or more key assumptions about their relationship with sales:
Sales: It is assumed that sales turnover will continue to grow at a rate of 11% every year. This figure is the historical average of growth (change) in the last 3 years and reiterates Patrick Gournay’s plans to increase sales. It is unlikely that the firm will be able to achieve 20% growth again as the firm has reached its ‘maturity phase’ in the business cycle (further discussed in 3).
COGS: A historical average was taken to......
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Approximate Word Count: 2798
Approximate Pages: 12 (250 words per double-spaced page)
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