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The Probability of a Major Hurricane Hitting New Orleans





Table of Contents

Executive Summary 3
Introduction 3
Hypothesis 7
Analysis & Method 8
Conclusion 10
References 12
Appendix 14


Executive Summary
New Orleans, Louisiana lies at the second lowest elevation among major cities in the United States. It is a city surrounded by water, making it almost like an island. To counter this dangerous combination of the low elevation along with the lakes, rivers and swamps surrounding it, the Army Corps of Engineers built a series of levees around the city to foster its protection. It is these very same levees however that might doom the city should a Category 3 hurricane ever hit. Our statistical analyses examined the current belief that there is a 39% probability that New Orleans will be hit by a major hurricane and based on the resulting Z-score, rejected that belief. We did find however that the probability, while not 39%, was still in the......

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Approximate Word Count: 4656
Approximate Pages: 19 (250 words per double-spaced page)

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